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My Online Crystal Ball |
by:
Jim Edwards |
© Jim Edwards - All Rights reserved
http://www.thenetreporter.com
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Most people making predictions aboutfuture never face accountability for their erroneous or vague forecasts.
"Experts" predict future developments, especially online, and only follow up if they happen to hit correctly.
I, however, will gladly hold myself accountable forfollowing forecast of exciting developments that will revolutionize use ofInternet for all of us withinnext twelve to thirty six months.
Entertainment
Download movies through your computer? YES.
With more than fivezero% of all online access inU.S. now at broadband speed,infrastructure for downloading movies exists. Combine that withavailability of cheap CD- burners, TiVo, and portable players likenew Sony PSP, and allingredients now exist for movies on-demand overInternet.
Live performances by famous and unknown artists? YES.
Emerging talents will get "discovered" bypopular culture through live broadcasts, "Podcasting" and other "events" overInternet.
"Podcasting" in particular will drivesocial network effect of people passing along new music and content to friends.
Business
True freedom and mobility through video conferencing? NO.
About three years ago, I predicted that individuals providing personal services such as bookkeeping, accounting, writing, computer programming or other consulting functions would use inexpensive and highly portable video conferencing access and equipment to provide face-to-face personal interaction.
I was wrong. People have discovered that, with some things, it's just plain easier to pick upphone and talk to someone.
I now doubt that more traditional functions like this will adopt video conferencing.
The "little guy" will get completely swallowed up by big business? NO.
Enhancements in technology will allow creative and innovative companies to compete onscale with enormous companies.
New ideas, innovations andability to bring them to market quickly through powerful online channels will dictateinitial success or failure in business.
However, oncebusiness gets established,"little guy" will always lose to"business" that operates likebusiness.
Companies large and small learned how to market online correctly inlast few years, so now long-term success directly relates toability to operate likebusiness, not"lone gun" operating fromInternet connection inspare room.
Social
An increasing feeling of loneliness and isolation for people who work online? YES.
It rates much easier for people to retreat into"virtual" world, filled with virtual friends and relationships, than to face reality inoffline world.
I think this trend of psychic disconnect will continue until people realize they needbalance of offline friends and interests too.
Three general developments will drive this next wave of technological innovation: faster, cheaper computer processors; increased access to broadband Internet; and cheap data storage devices with huge capacity.
I also think one ofmost important developments to watch innext year involves any portable device that allowsuser to take digital media with them.
In particular, portable MPthree players and portable digital video players, presentmost exciting and explosive possibilities for growth.
Aboutauthor:
Jim Edwards issyndicated newspaper columnist andco-author ofamazing new ebook that will teach you how to use fr^e articles to quickly drive thousands of targeted visitors to your website or affiliate links...
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